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November 28, 2011 at 6:26 pm #55004
BEAR
Now, now, now; don’t get your knickers in a wad. I agree with your sentiments. I grew up in Houston and I have seen the space program up close and personal. I have two cousins that work at MSC. One in astronaut training and she spends have her life in Russia training cosmonauts and astraonauts; the other in advanced propulsion system design. I am uninformed, so I do not know the reasons for why we needed to spend so much money on the search for life on a foreign/alien/ another planet. Sure it most closely resembles earth of the planets. I also deeply believe in GOD and know how unique the earth is and it’s placement in the solar system and the size of our sun/star versus other stars make this a very unique place. Yet if one is to question priorities, and I am sure this decison to build this probe was made a decade or more back, during other administrations; the question might have been, should we not find something to duplicate and/or replace the shuttle? Seems that money could have gone a ways towards that end. Of course, I am admitting that I am a Monday morning arm-chair quarterback. I am also grateful for a successful launch of a beautiful rocket. These kinds of things are possibly not going to happen as often given the current politics. Those professional rocketeers did a great job, and just think, we are only two levells below them. Or for some in the club, only one level away. Model, highpower, amatuer, and professional.
As far as the landing system, if you can remember Rube Goldberg, it was complicated, it was difficult, and it wss funny, but it worked. My apologies for my cynicism from the day before. I am just concerned about our nation and it’s future. 😕
November 28, 2011 at 7:03 pm #55005greywolves
Hey Guys,
Wow, is right! Thats very impressive, if you can dream it, Adrain and NASA can build it. I’ve been looking at upgradeing my computer, would you beleive they are upto 3 billion transistors on a 32 nano-meter chip-set, 😯 . and do you think the guys at Bell Labs, could see that coming? yeah, i never understood why NASA budget was so low compared to military budget. I would think, the group for Growing our future would get a much better percentage, there i go thinking again 😳
November 28, 2011 at 7:54 pm #55006BEAR
I have a study report from 1971 on the benefits of the space program and budgetary concerns. When the report was written those 4 decades ago, it was determined that the filter down in the economy worked out to be $125 for every dollar that was spent on the space program. It might be similar for a war. There was even talk back then of President Kennedy trying to do the same thing as a war without having one when he presented his speech that started the space race back in 1961 and the goal of putting a man on the moon before the end of the decade. I remember back in 1972 of getting an engineering notebook which contained a photograph of the eye of the eagle on a U.S. quarter coin and inside the eye was an integrated circuit. We were still writing computer code in Fortran and Cobal. Then the languages start flowing, so many to learn. Still using punch cards and IBM card sorters. I had Frederick Post slide rules for doing calculations and as an employee of Texas Instruments at the time where I worked my way through school as a machinist, getting the employee discount price of $150 for the 4 function data-math calculator which was bigger than my Droid X. WOW
November 28, 2011 at 10:44 pm #55007BEAR
Gosh, 3Dogs, I thought it was $.50 of every dollar and borrowing was now greater than the GDP, but I might be wrong. I too favor a balanced budget as you know, but I prefer that we start with entitlements for balancing the budget, and maybe some government programs or administrations (Part of the alphabet soup, EPA, OSHA DEA, BATFE, etc.) and we the people take care of the people in our own communities ourselves instead of allowing the governments to do it. Buy the way, what are you drinking and can I join you at the campfire for the discussion? 🙂
November 29, 2011 at 3:36 am #55008RichWallner
ParticipantGetting back to the original topic….
Adrian: I appreciate your perspective and insight on this mission. It’s interesting to hear about the pros & cons of the various approaches.
But, even speaking as an aerospace engineer — wow, is that a complicated landing sequence!!!!! And, it’s made vastly more complex by a) the need for 100% autonomy due to the light-time delay, and b) the impossibility of full-up testing due to the different gravity & atmospheres on Earth vs. Mars.
It seems to me that even an “old-style” lander (in the vein of Viking, or Apollo), though still complex, has the big upside of being basically a single system once the heat shield comes off. This sequence has so many different kinds of events, each based on so many different sensors and timed sequences….each requiring (I assume) redundant components….
Particularly in the very risk-averse climate that NASA and the rest of the industry operate in, I’m surprised that this landing approach was approved. Was the weight penalty of an “old-style” lander really that severe? I would think that the descent stage needs to carry nearly the same amount of fuel whether it hovers 60′ above ground for a minute or so and then flies away vs. actually landing.
November 29, 2011 at 3:49 am #55009Adrian
ParticipantThe U.S. is borrowing (currently with an interest rate of about 2%, pretty much the same as the inflation rate, so zero real cost) 39% of what it is spending.
http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/120xx/doc12039/HistoricalTables%5B1%5D.pdf
We went from a surplus at the end of the 1990s to where we are now, due almost completely to 1. Tax cuts started in the Bush administration and expanded in the Obama administration 2. The 2008 financial collapse, which led to people falling into the safety net and reduction in profits/revenue 3. War in Iraq and Afghanistan.
http://www.cbpp.org/cms/index.cfm?fa=view&id=3036
Without those 3 factors, we would have virtually no budget deficit right now.
The NASA budget is about 0.6 % of the federal budget. About 30% of NASA’s budget goes to science programs including uncrewed planetary exploration like MER or Curiosity, and most of the rest goes toward manned space exploration.
http://lunar.colorado.edu/~jaburns/archive/astr4800dec07/Lectures/NASA_Budget_BDavis.pdf
Curiosity costs about 2.5 billion altogether, but that’s around what Orion is spending every year, (admittedly, some of which is going to me). The price tag for Curiosity is so high partly because JPL messed up and missed its launch window 2 years ago because of technical problems, and so a lot of the engineers were getting paid an extra 2 years for the same program. That’s the first time that a funded planetary exploration program has missed its launch window. Orion is so expensive because the manned space side of NASA is in a whole different category of inefficiency compared to the robotic side.
Mars Pathfinder was budgeted for $150 million and ended up costing about 250 million.
The price tag for The Mars Polar Lander and the Mars Climate Orbiter, together, not including the launch vehicle, was about 125 million. With the launch vehicles it was about 250 million. The team was stretched seriously thin, and that had a direct bearing on the fact that both of them failed. MER cost about 800 million, including the launch vehicles.November 29, 2011 at 4:03 am #55010Adrian
ParticipantGetting back to the original topic….
Adrian: I appreciate your perspective and insight on this mission. It’s interesting to hear about the pros & cons of the various approaches.
But, even speaking as an aerospace engineer — wow, is that a complicated landing sequence!!!!! And, it’s made vastly more complex by a) the need for 100% autonomy due to the light-time delay, and b) the impossibility of full-up testing due to the different gravity & atmospheres on Earth vs. Mars.
It seems to me that even an “old-style” lander (in the vein of Viking, or Apollo), though still complex, has the big upside of being basically a single system once the heat shield comes off. This sequence has so many different kinds of events, each based on so many different sensors and timed sequences….each requiring (I assume) redundant components….
Particularly in the very risk-averse climate that NASA and the rest of the industry operate in, I’m surprised that this landing approach was approved. Was the weight penalty of an “old-style” lander really that severe? I would think that the descent stage needs to carry nearly the same amount of fuel whether it hovers 60′ above ground for a minute or so and then flies away vs. actually landing.
For spacecraft that don’t have to move around after landing, then I agree a fixed propulsion system is the way to go. The main reason why Viking/MPL/Phoenix style landing wouldn’t work for this mission is because the payload is a really big rover.
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As complicated as Curiosity is, MER was actually significantly worse. In addition to the airbags, it had a big lander structure to protect it under the airbags, a Rover that had 56 (!) motors in order to unfold it from being packaged in that tetrahedron, a landing radar, 3 solid rocket motors, a tether that lowered the lander from the backshell, a camera vision system that adjusted the angle of the solid retro rocket motors to compensate for horizontal velocity, motors to reel in the airbags, motors to unfold the petals, a whole active cooling loop to keep the rover cool inside its airbag cocoon on the way to Mars, and I could go on and on. Check out this video:November 30, 2011 at 5:03 am #55011edward
ModeratorSeriously, when are we going to put a Jeep up there and do some donuts? Enough with the R/C cars.
Edward
November 30, 2011 at 3:25 pm #55012new2hpr
ParticipantAnybody got any drawings showing how the Apollo moon buggy folded up and fit with the lander? It seems relatively large, but it would be nice to see a comparison of it vs. current Mars rovers, in terms of size, weight, unfolding complexity, etc.
-Ken
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