Snow this weekend?

[AdrianParticipant]

There’s a winter storm watch posted now, with 3-6″ likely late Friday night and possible blizzard conditions on Saturday. Sunday looks better, with the storm cleared out. There may be 6-12″ on the ground then, though.

[SCOTT EVANS]

There’s a winter storm watch posted now, with 3-6″ likely late Friday night and possible blizzard conditions on Saturday. Sunday looks better, with the storm cleared out. There may be 6-12″ on the ground then, though.

I guess the batteries in our trackers better be charged!

[muleParticipant]

and the snow mobiles and snow shoes ready…

[AdrianParticipant]

If you’re a weather nerd like me, you may find the “scientific forecaster discussion” interesting at the Weather Underground.

http://www.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc.asp?DiscussionCode=BOU&StateCode=CO&SafeCityName=Carr

Apparently some of the models they use are predicting around 3-6″ total, and others are predicting more like 1-2 feet, based on small changes in the storm track and how quickly the precipitation changes to snow on Friday night. You can look at the same computer model results that they do at this site, as soon as the NWS computers get done cranking them, which they do 4 times a day. (your tax dollars at work)

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/

I recommend the “850mb Temp, MSLP, 6hr Pcpn” column and the “loop” option in the most recent GFS or NAM model. The precipitation is given in water inches, which approximately convert to feet of snow if it’s light fluffy stuff. What I think is kind of cool about this site is that you can see how the models’s predictions for the same event have been changing over the last 24 hours. So when the forecasters change their tune, you can see why.

[Geof Givens]

In addition to the snow, wind up to 45-50mph is mentioned:

http://www.intellicast.com/Storm/Severe/Bulletins.aspx?location=USCO0057

[Jeffrey Joe HintonModerator]

In case you missed the front page posting or comment in a different thread, this weekend has been scrubbed – both days – on account of Mother Nature.
FWIW, I am an optimist and believe weather forecasting is one of those weird sciences that we’re still learning about. But when I have to shovel the foot of sunshine off the sidewalks, I’ve learned not to doubt an almost sure doom and gloomy prediction.

[muleParticipant]

Aw, you guys are too technical.
I use the gifts of my forefathers (someone way back was a Cherokee).

I walk out side, look to the West and then put my ear to the ground. If it gets wet, it rained, if it gets filled with snow, then it snowed. If I hear rumbling, either it’s thundering, a train is near, a heard of Buffalo is coming my way, or the trash truck is about to hit me. 😆

Good call Joe.

Thanks for the weather links Adrian & Geof. I like finding new sources to compare.

Greg

[Ed Dawson]

Looks like the right call was made on the weather. Did anybody notice that it’s 25 degrees, with freezing fog, and winds from 28 to 42 mph in Wellington.

No, the skys are not clear……

[Anonymous]

Indeed, a bad day to be shagging rockets. That said, moisture in Windsor was pretty minimal….

[Anonymous]

On an encouraging note, I talked to a buddy of mine who lives ~5 miles east of Ault. They got “hammered” with snow. Apparently east and north of Windsor got a lot more than Windsor itself… This is good.

[Author]

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